Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 0.001805 0.001987 0.002169 0.002365 0.002569 0.002775 0.002998
2025-02-09 0.001583 0.001865 0.002156 0.002477 0.002820 0.003172 0.003562
2025-02-16 0.001374 0.001736 0.002121 0.002556 0.003031 0.003528 0.004087
2025-02-23 0.001087 0.001498 0.001950 0.002475 0.003060 0.003686 0.004398
2025-03-02 0.000861 0.001304 0.001811 0.002417 0.003107 0.003856 0.004721
2025-03-09 0.000686 0.001153 0.001708 0.002388 0.003178 0.004049 0.005065
2025-03-16 0.000550 0.001032 0.001629 0.002380 0.003267 0.004257 0.005424
2025-03-23 0.000471 0.000976 0.001623 0.002453 0.003447 0.004566 0.005895
2025-03-30 0.000385 0.000899 0.001583 0.002480 0.003568 0.004806 0.006286
2025-04-06 0.000313 0.000831 0.001549 0.002509 0.003689 0.005044 0.006674
2025-04-13 0.000255 0.000775 0.001524 0.002546 0.003818 0.005288 0.007067
2025-04-20 0.000188 0.000692 0.001457 0.002524 0.003871 0.005442 0.007354
2025-04-27 0.000130 0.000617 0.001405 0.002534 0.003978 0.005678 0.007760
2025-05-04 0.000101 0.000593 0.001424 0.002638 0.004206 0.006061 0.008344
2025-05-11 0.000071 0.000554 0.001421 0.002711 0.004397 0.006404 0.008884
2025-05-18 0.000026 0.000447 0.001301 0.002622 0.004380 0.006497 0.009133
2025-05-25 0.000004 0.000363 0.001205 0.002559 0.004393 0.006624 0.009420
2025-06-01 NaN 0.000299 0.001135 0.002527 0.004442 0.006793 0.009755
2025-06-08 NaN 0.000250 0.001082 0.002516 0.004518 0.006993 0.010127
2025-06-15 NaN 0.000232 0.001087 0.002590 0.004704 0.007328 0.010659
2025-06-22 NaN 0.000201 0.001062 0.002616 0.004825 0.007583 0.011095
2025-06-29 NaN 0.000175 0.001041 0.002645 0.004949 0.007840 0.011533
2025-07-06 NaN 0.000153 0.001026 0.002683 0.005084 0.008110 0.011986